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It would seem when comparing speed of pellets versus speed of target that additional pellets could pass through those areas while the target is at this point.
If so, they would also leave a hole in the paper. But you are right that the pellets are going extremely fast. So fast that as far as the target is concerned, the pattern is one dimensional so the pattern on paper is an accurate representation of pattern density and the rectangle is pretty much the total surface area that the target might present to the pattern.
 
One pellet will break a clay but there are a lot more variables. Temperature, damp air, type of target, all this may cause more then one pellet to break the clay. I have seen 3 pellet go right though the clay and land on the ground and still didn't break.
 
If so, they would also leave a hole in the paper. But you are right that the pellets are going extremely fast. So fast that as far as the target is concerned, the pattern is one dimensional so the pattern on paper is an accurate representation of pattern density and the rectangle is pretty much the total surface area that the target might present to the pattern.
Yeah, unfortunately all we can do without high dollar electronics is work with probability and possibility with no absolute conclusion.
Then there are the what if’s.

Atleast evaluation provides thread topics🤔
 
I’ve done the count several times beginning with Vic Reinders back in 1967 at Waukesha Wis Gun Club. At 16 yard trap, it takes 6 to 8 #8s or 3 to 5 # 7.5 shot. Back then Magnum shot was just beginning its debut. Almost everything was chilled shot. What interesting is it doesn’t seem to make a difference that much even today.
 
At 16 yard trap, it takes 6 to 8 #8s or 3 to 5 # 7.5 shot
How can you possibly know that as a fact? In short you can't, and in fact it is incorrect because if you look at a paper pattern, there are very few places(if any) where there are 6-8 pellet holes in a 2"x5" rectangle.
 
is it possible that the targets found with pellet holes in them were hit by the fringe of the shot string ? need to hit the target better to break it.............
A target doesn't know if its a pellet from the center of the pattern or the furthest one out and each carries the same energy regardless.
 
If you all really need proof that a single pellet will break a target, look at some super slow motion videos of pellets impacting a target and you will see that the first one to hit starts the breakage. As such, no other pellets need to hit the target to break it.

The video below(10,000 frames per second) shows the first pellet impact has started the breakage at the 7 second mark followed very quickly by a second impact the target is already breaking. To watch this is stop frame, when the video get to the 6 second mark by hitting the pause II button. You can then click in the red dot on the video time line to see stop action shots. Remember that the target is spinning 33 times per second so by the time you see the crack the target has revolved 20+ times.

 
I’ve done the count several times beginning with Vic Reinders back in 1967 at Waukesha Wis Gun Club. At 16 yard trap, it takes 6 to 8 #8s or 3 to 5 # 7.5 shot. Back then Magnum shot was just beginning its debut. Almost everything was chilled shot. What interesting is it doesn’t seem to make a difference that much even today.
That evaluation is nonsense as there is no reliable way to perform such stated.
Furthermore 1.5” of 9’s would not consistently place 6-8 pellets on a target.
 
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