Hmm, Andrew. Using a kind of flaky momentum analysis, I get just what you did less than a tenth of the predicted 1/10 inch rise. It appears that using the weights, speeds, corrections and so on we've used so far, gasses will never get the job done. Time for "real world" testing, that's for sure. We'll just have to wait and see how that comes out. I'm pretty certain of replication, especially based on the photos I've seem.
But now, looking into a possible future, let's say it all falls apart, that the muzzle is in essentially the same place when the shot exits, porting or no. I've always thought "If porting works, the shot must be placed lower, based on the idea that if the muzzle-rise is not (partially) counteracted by the time the shot exits, there's no reason it should happen later." If, in fact, it turns out that POI depression doesn't happen or haqppens, as both our maths are telling us, only to the degree of 1/100 inch, doesn't this necessarily mean that porting is a complete zero, muzzle-lift-wise?
Neil