It may "Come down" from gougers prices but,it won't Come down to where it WAS . The days of $5.00 a box shells is GONE ! I think you can count on 7 to 8 bucks a box for promos and 9 to 10 for premium loads. Inflation will hold the prices high due to production and shipping cost.It may be the norm for a while. Eventually it will come down. It will come down more when imported ammo returns. How far? ????
We had a price spike when the value of the dollar plunged, making imports more expensive. The value of the dollar went up, and the price of imported ammo came down. So did U.S. promo ammo.
The first wave of imports caught the U.S. ammo companies unaware. By the second wave the U.S. ammo makers were ready and countered with Gun Clubs, Top Guns, Super-Targets. Those were a little less costly to make, but not that much. Mostly the U.S. ammo makers cut their margins. A bitter pill to swallow, but "half a loaf is better than none". And they preserved market share. Nothing is harder to do than win back market share that has been lost. And market share is a major factor in long-term profitability.