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Zogby Electoral College Poll - state by state...

Discussion in 'Uncategorized Threads' started by crusha, Sep 15, 2008.

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  1. crusha

    crusha TS Member

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    This is what has the liberals peeing their pants this morning.


    Click on your state to see results.
     
  2. recurvyarcher

    recurvyarcher Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, but Obama still has the lead in THE NUMBER of electoral votes. But it's very close. Like everybody keeps saying, McCain has to sway the undecided states.

    Thanks for posting this. This is a great tool for following the election trends every day.
     
  3. Bisi

    Bisi TS Member

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    buzzy, what is scary is they have Indiana listed as being up for grabs. Indiana hasn't gone for a Dem since LBJ!! I can't believe In would go for a socialist like "dumb as a rock Barack".

    Of course Indiana is changing. Northern Indiana has been overran by the brown invasion.
     
  4. crusha

    crusha TS Member

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    Bisi,

    I agree, the Hoosier state is a changin'. But I don't think we'll go Dem this time...in fact, I'm using my local knowledge of my home state as a sort of "standard known solution" against which I calibrate how much I believe what the pollsters say about other states.

    And hey, if this "up for grabs" delusion prompts Obama to waste money and time here (hasn't happened yet, so I don't think he's drinking the Kool Aid), then so much the better.


    MIA - thanks for outing Zogby's laziness for me.


    All - my main reason for posting was, this result is showing a ~50 electoral swing in McC's favor, from what it was showing for the past month.


    aka buzzie
     
  5. jevoliva

    jevoliva Member

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    I tripped along this site about two months back -- no idea how -- and it looks pretty similar to RCP in the end, just in a little easier to understand form. Their method of figuring the map is easily found (click on Map algorithm explained) and has some decent commentary on the day's events and will touch on how this election is stacking up over the last two elections. Pretty interesting stuff.

    Even if McCain wins, he will still be facing a democratic senate and house....
     
  6. Paladin

    Paladin Well-Known Member

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    Nice link MIA. The one article that caught my eye is "He's Kerry; She's Reagan".


    I think that nails it. She is Reagan, and he is big hat no cattle Kerry.
     
  7. Paladin

    Paladin Well-Known Member

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    The latest from Rasmussen shows there are 5 swing states in play. Todays polling figures show McCain leading by 2% or more in each of four states, and dead even in Pennsylvania. Hussein Obama had, with emphasis on had, a commanding lead in Pennsylvania one month ago, but momentum is now with Johnny Mac.
     
  8. grnberetcj

    grnberetcj Active Member

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    If (and a damn big IF) the hunters/shooters/sportspeople would only vote, then McCain would landslide PA.

    But past history indicates this will not happen and PA will again go to the democrats.

    Truly a waste!

    Curt
     
  9. recurvyarcher

    recurvyarcher Well-Known Member

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    Curt,

    Philly and Pittsburgh are huge and densely-populated, not to mention other cities like York and Harrisburg. The shooters here do vote, but we live outside of the big city (for the most part) and are outnumbered by the the city folk.
     
  10. grnberetcj

    grnberetcj Active Member

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    curvy...no you (PA voter's) are not!

    Do a quick research and ascertain the numbers....

    H-Burg/York/Red Lion, etc, etc. are predominantly Repub havens....

    Curt
     
  11. recurvyarcher

    recurvyarcher Well-Known Member

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    Curt, the Republicans have out-registered the Democrats in York. So, yes, we are.

    Take a look at the statistics above, and you tell me how the Republicans are going to beat a city like Philly...
     
  12. grnberetcj

    grnberetcj Active Member

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    Because if (and only if) the apathetic hunters/shooters would vote, then that would negate the Philly vote by a wide margin.

    It's not a matter of the registered party's numbers, it's that the non-city voter's must get off their lazy butt's and vote.

    Curt
     
  13. recurvyarcher

    recurvyarcher Well-Known Member

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    Curt, how do you know that? If you look at PA census data (yes, I have) per county, you cannot ascertain the number of voting-aged adults in each county, since it just has number of people per household. These days, you cannot assume that there are 2 per house, so how do you break that down?

    There are more than 400,000 MORE registered democrats in Philidelphia county than registered republicans. Are you assuming that the rest of the state's counties are mostly republican?

    And why can't you use the voter registration data? You can't vote if you are not registered, so the registered ones are the only ones that count. Do you have any data to show how many non-registered citizens are republicans as opposed to democrat? If so, let me know, as I would find that information fascinating and would like to follow that from year-to-year.
     
  14. bluedevil

    bluedevil Active Member

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    If you want to ivestigate something try to determine the percentage of Democrats and Republicans who actually pay income tax. A huge percentage of Democrat voters are tax receivers not payers. Do you think for one second they are going to switch? I think not in a thousand years.
     
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