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Romney wins in a landslide

Discussion in 'Politics, Elections & Legislation' started by wireguy, Oct 13, 2012.

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  1. wireguy

    wireguy TS Member

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    Romney wins in a landslide -- Las Vegas oddsmaker doubles down on prediction

    By Wayne Allyn Root

    Published October 09, 2012

    FoxNews.com


    Yes, you read that headline correctly. I am a Las Vegas oddsmaker (and former Libertarian vice presidential candidate) and here's why I am so boldly predicting a Romney landslide.

    In November of 2004, only days before the presidential election, I went on CNBC and predicted a Bush victory by 3 points and 30 electoral votes. Every poll at the time showed Kerry in the lead. Bush won by 3 and 35. Newsmax magazine called it the most accurate prediction of 2004.

    In October of 2006, I went on Fox News to predict the GOP would get slaughtered in the midterm election and lose Congress. They did.

    In December 2011, before the GOP primary, I predicted Mitt Romney would win the GOP presidential nomination and go on to win the presidency. For the next few months, Romney trailed by a wide margin to a range of contenders -- Donald Trump, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum. It seemed no one wanted Mitt for president. It seemed no one believed in Mitt. No one, that is, except this Las Vegas oddsmaker and capitalist evangelist.

    Fast forward to Spring 2012 after Romney clinched the GOP nomination, but trailed in every poll to President Obama. I boldly predicted a Mitt Romney landslide on Election Day, November 6.

    Fast forward to June 2012, when experts predicted a defeat for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in his recall election. Unions were pouring unheard of sums into the race in a longtime Democratic state that welcomes union rights. I boldly predicted a Walker landslide victory of 7 to 10 points. He won by exactly 7 (despite reported Democratic voter irregularities).

    For the past month, as Mitt Romney trailed badly in almost every poll, especially in the all-important battleground states, I continued to predict a big Romney victory. Today I’m making it official:

    I’m doubling down. Mitt Romney will win the presidency, and it won’t be close.

    I’m predicting a 5 to 7 point popular vote victory. Electorally it won’t even be that close. Romney will win many states that went to Obama in 2008. I’m predicting Romney victories in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Indiana. I predict a Romney victory by 100 to 120 electoral votes.

    In the days before the first presidential debate, polls showed Romney trailing badly in most of those states. But, as I’ve argued from day one, the polls are wrong. They are badly skewed towards Democrats. Quite simply they are over-polling Democratic voters and assuming a turnout that looks like 2008, when record numbers of Democrats came out for Obama.

    After Romney’s overwhelming victory in the first debate he now leads, or is dead even in battleground states where, only days before, he was supposedly way behind. My contention is a 1 point Romney lead in those Democrat-skewed polls is really a comfortable 5 to 7 point Romney lead on election day.

    There are several specific reasons I predict a comfortable Romney victory on election day:

    The news media is ignoring signs of mass revulsion towards President Obama. In the West Virginia Democrat primary, a felon got 40% of the vote versus Obama. In deep blue Massachusetts and Connecticut, GOP Senate candidates are even, or leading in recent polls. In pro-union Wisconsin, Walker won by a country mile. But worst of all for Mr. Obama, several recent polls show Romney competitive in Illinois -- Obama’s home state. Romney is actually winning by a landslide in the suburbs of Obama’s Chicago. Even in Cook County, the country’s biggest Democratic stronghold, Romney leads by double digits among independents (43-31) and white voters (53-40). These are very bad signs for Obama.

    In 2008 Democrats overwhelmingly controlled the majority of governorships. Today Republicans control the majority of Governorships. Presidential elections are always steered in each state by the governor -- the most powerful force in state politics.

    After the 2010 census, electoral votes were added to states that lean Republican in elections: Texas, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, South Carolina, and Utah. Deep blue Democrat states like New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Massachusetts lost electoral votes.

    That brings up an interesting point. Why is everyone running away from these ultra liberal, high tax states in the first place? Isn’t that alone proof of the failure of Democrat ideas?

    Next, follow the money trail. Yes, Obama is raising plenty of money, although there is now a major question about whether it's coming from illegal foreign contributors. But forget all that. What matters is that in 2008 Obama overwhelmed McCain by out-spending him 10 to 1 down the stretch. That won’t happen in 2012. Romney is even, or can out-spend Obama, in the last 2 weeks of the election. That makes a huge difference in the outcome.

    Christians will turn out in record numbers this year. Obama has offended Christians again and again. Last election 20 million evangelical Christians did not vote. They will turn out in record numbers in 2012 to defeat the most anti-Christian President in US history. How motivated are Christians? Did you see the long lines around the country to support Chick-fil-A this summer? You’ll see those same lines on election day.

    Voter rolls have been purged in 2012 of felons and illegals in many states -- particularly Florida and Ohio. Turnout of Democrats will be nothing like 2008.

    Which brings up another important question. What kind of political party relies on felons and people illegally in the country to win elections?

    The “Enthusiasm Factor” for Romney is huge. Conservatives are focused, intense, motivated, and enthusiastic. Democrats turned out for Obama in record numbers in 2008. Today they are demoralized. A big edge goes to Romney on Election Day as conservatives, white voters, middle class voters and independents turn out in record numbers for Romney.

    I know several people who voted for Obama in 2008, but never again. Does anyone know a McCain voter who will vote for Obama in 2012? There are none.

    Finally, history proves that a majority of undecided voters break for the challenger. Romney will take most of the undecided voters on election day -- just like Reagan did versus Jimmy Carter in 1980. Romney’s fantastic debate performance gave them confidence to choose the challenger.

    This is Carter/Reagan all over again. The same horrible economy. The same economically ignorant fool in the White House bringing misery to Americans. The same economic collapse under the weight of socialist, pro union, soak the rich, demonize the business owners, policies.

    I predict the same result on election day. Mitt Romney in a landslide.

    And If I'm wrong- God help the United States of America.

    Wayne Allyn Root is a capitalist evangelist and serial entrepreneur. He is a former Libertarian vice presidential nominee. He now serves as chairman of the Libertarian National Campaign Committee. He is the best-selling author of "The Conscience of a Libertarian: Empowering the Citizen Revolution with God, Guns, Gold & Tax Cuts." For more, visit his website: www.ROOTforAmerica.com.

    Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/10/09/romney-will-win-in-landslide-las-vegas-oddsmaker-doubles-down-on-prediction/?intcmp=trending#ixzz29CGlji1l
     
  2. Brian in Oregon

    Brian in Oregon Well-Known Member

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    You better pray he's right.
     
  3. cnsane

    cnsane Member

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    In the Meantime:

    I was mean to the telephone Pollsters. I keep telling every one of them that I'm Ind, voted for zero and will vote for him again because I believe the Country is much better off. It's a more productive response than telling them to fornicate themselves or hanging up. Buttloads of people are doing it and that makes us smile when the Media tells us how well the chocolate clown is doing with Voters
     
  4. wireguy

    wireguy TS Member

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    Let's say Romney wins. Given the condition of our country, unless he is entirely a non-Bushy type president who really gets it, unless he comes out hard to diminish the size and power of government at all levels, we are still screwed. Given his background on gun control and his inability to see the facts and not the emotion driven rhetoric on that issue, I'm not hopeful.
     
  5. stokinpls

    stokinpls Well-Known Member

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    "That George W. Bush is so arrogant!"

    Bob Falfa
     
  6. Catpower

    Catpower Molon Labe TS Supporters

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    Obozo did the same thing for the debate as he's done since he's been the prez, nothing good
     
  7. BAD 303

    BAD 303 Active Member

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    This guy has nothing on me as i have been preaching to you guys on here for months that Romney wins this in a landslide. I can not wait to get my barnd new crisp 100 dollar bill from GW22. Where you at Gary?
     
  8. crusha

    crusha TS Member

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    Well, I will say the map has narrowed a bit. It appears Romney ain't doing so bad in Florida and Virginia, and the Obama folks are shifting their focus to Wisconsin and Iowa (if Romney wins the Atlantic seaboard battleground states, Obama then needs Ohio, plus 2 out of 3 in Wisc/Iowa/Missouri, and Mo is looking reddish, so that leaves Wisc and Iowa).


    It would still be totally off the wall for Romney to win this election...but he is keeping it close, which is the best we could have hoped for, 3 weeks out.


    But if he were to win, I'd look for him to be Bush on steroids. Heck, he's already making Paul Ryan sound like a moderate.
     
  9. WS-1

    WS-1 Banned User Banned

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    ttt
     
  10. Rocketdog

    Rocketdog Member

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    Double standard piece of dead meat who will screw the middle class.
     
  11. wolfram

    wolfram Well-Known Member

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    Hope he is right. I watched 2016 this week-end and for those of you that haven't please do. It won't change your mind if you intend to vote against Obama but it will clarify what he is really about. Alot of what might be interperated as incompetence or inexperience is really well thought out and intentional.

    I think all voters need to see this movie prior to election day - it not just the 'rich' and priveledged that are the target of this anti-american.
     
  12. lots of 24's

    lots of 24's Member

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    I think you guys are all dreaming. Wishful thinking. Stick a fork in this country we are done. I am not voting for him, but it aint gonna matter.
     
  13. kcbullets

    kcbullets Member

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    So much for predictions
     
  14. Jerbear

    Jerbear TS Member

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    The amount of Voter fraud is enormous.....

    Allen West wins in recount.....


    They need to issue a nation wide recount of all the votes. You would find after all the fraud votes thrown out Romney would win....


    <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/MrERV1dPbI4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

    Jerbear
     
  15. trap72

    trap72 Member

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    Yeah, ha, ha, ha, ha

    Drown in your tears
     
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