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Mexico's gun supply and the 90% Myth

Discussion in 'Shooting Related Threads' started by Ted K., Feb 10, 2011.

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  1. Ted K.

    Ted K. Member

    Feb 8, 2009
    Tiburon, CA
    A careful analysis of the oft-repeated allegation that "90% of the guns used in the Mexican drug trade were bought in the U.S." can be found at


    Here is an excerpt:


    According to the GAO report, some 30,000 firearms were seized from criminals by Mexican authorities in 2008. Of these 30,000 firearms, information pertaining to 7,200 of them (24 percent) was submitted to the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) for tracing. Of these 7,200 guns, only about 4,000 could be traced by the ATF, and of these 4,000, some 3,480 (87 percent) were shown to have come from the United States.

    This means that the 87 percent figure relates to the number of weapons submitted by the Mexican government to the ATF that could be successfully traced and not from the total number of weapons seized by Mexican authorities or even from the total number of weapons submitted to the ATF for tracing. In fact, the 3,480 guns positively traced to the United States equals less than 12 percent of the total arms seized in Mexico in 2008 and less than 48 percent of all those submitted by the Mexican government to the ATF for tracing. This means that almost 90 percent of the guns seized in Mexico in 2008 were not traced back to the United States.


    Mexico's Gun Supply and the 90 Percent Myth is republished with permission of STRATFOR.

    Ted K.
  2. EuroJoe

    EuroJoe Well-Known Member

    May 3, 2008
    I go to Mexico several times a year with shotguns, and I can tell you it ain't easy. You have to geta permit thru the sponsoring club, you get met at the airport by the military, who have a copy of your permit to check against. When leaving, you must check it out with the police.In other words, if you take it in, you better take it out.
    It would be easy enough to get out without it, but then they come after the permit issuing club.
    Any of these guns in question have been smuggled in!
  3. Hap MecTweaks

    Hap MecTweaks Well-Known Member

    Jan 29, 1998
    Mesquite, Nevada
    While they are at it, I wish they'd check for registered stolen gun serial numbers gathered up in Mexico also!! I think I own about 5 living in Mexico somewhere!! That just ain't gonna happen anytime soon either!

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